# Distribution markets documentation

> Continuous distribution markets on Starknet. Traders express a posterior over a continuous outcome; underwriters warehouse quoted risk around that posterior.

These markets replace binary yes/no prediction markets with full parametric distributions. A trade changes the quoted distribution to the trader's posterior. An underwrite commits balance sheet to that quote to absorb subsequent flow.

## Docs

- [Documentation index](https://project-deadeye.vercel.app/docs.md): overview of all published pages.
- [Why probability is fun](https://project-deadeye.vercel.app/docs/why-probability.md): Probability is the language for uncertainty. This page explains why uncertainty is the honest way to describe future events, and why a distribution market lets you express the whole shape of yours instead of collapsing it to yes or no.
- [For the forecasters](https://project-deadeye.vercel.app/docs/for-the-forecasters.md): If you already think in distributions, binary markets are the wrong instrument. This page explains what a yes-or-no contract throws away when it forces your full posterior into a single threshold price, and why a distribution market gives most of that skill somewhere to clear.
- [A 10-minute intro to distribution markets](https://project-deadeye.vercel.app/docs/getting-started.md): What a distribution market is, the two ways you can disagree with it, and what you are putting at risk when you trade.
- [Trading a distribution market](https://project-deadeye.vercel.app/docs/trading.md): How to express a posterior, size the trade against your budget, and read the payoff curve the chain will pay you against.
- [Underwriting a distribution market](https://project-deadeye.vercel.app/docs/lp-strategy.md): How to quote risk in a distribution market: what the contract stores when you add liquidity, when underwriting is actually profitable, and how to attribute P&L cleanly.
- [Glossary](https://project-deadeye.vercel.app/docs/glossary.md): The vocabulary used across the trading and underwriting guides, in one place.
- [FAQ](https://project-deadeye.vercel.app/docs/faq.md): The questions that come up most often — answered briefly, with pointers into the longer guides.

## Full content

- [Full documentation](https://project-deadeye.vercel.app/llms-full.txt): every page concatenated into a single file for retrieval.